I think my counter is relatively straightforward. Economists have said that as of more or less today there has been zero impact from AI. Despite layoffs in tech. I don’t think we go from “no economic impact” to end of humanity in “the next few years”.
Did the economists’ analysis consider variables like AI-spurred layoffs / job displacement also influencing the metrics being considered? I suppose it would be very hard to do as it’s unclear what subset of layoffs were downstream effects of AI, and I’m sure if I, random guy on HN, thought of it, they, actual economists, surely would’ve too.
In any case, the economics of a doomsday device are probably quite unique.., though economic impact as a proxy for intelligence and intelligence as proxy for likelihood-of-annihilating for some bands is probably a fair way to approximate here…
Zero impact seems weird. Aren’t employees at major software companies saying they don’t even write code anymore? I personally know people are Google who say this.
Why is it “certainly” the case that one will be enormously valuable?
Neither appears to be on track to long-term profitability specifically once you take into account depreciation on CAPEX.
On top of this the “productivity gains” from AI across the board seem to be a very mixed bag. The pitch from these companies has been huge gains in productivity and automation and although there is anecdotal evidence some people are able to do that, the broader studies seem to show marginal gains in most cases.
Are there any good examples of where removing the leading "how" has improved the title? Or some list of title filtering rules with concrete examples of why they're implemented?
The main benefit of strudel is it’s much easier to get started. Maybe it’s changed but when I tried Tidal Cycles a few years ago it was a massive pita to get installed.
100% getting everything working for TidalCycles was rough, I remember needing to get Haskell, TidalCycles, and SuperCollider all communicating with each other and on the correct version. Once it was installed and working it was pretty solid but lots of headaches getting to that point. Maybe it’s better now though
Shortchanging it a bit when it moves it to the browser so less technical people can run it and moves it to a language significantly more people understand too.
Pretty clear that this is AI copied slop that no one at Toms Hardware bothered editing as it has no clarity that Nine PBS is the PBS affiliate in St Louis, Missouri.
My experience is that while they are all priced based on demand, Waymo is often much cheaper during periods of low demand. I have benefitted from a few 50% off rides in the past month, so I was able to pay $5.50-$6.00 for rides that would be $20-30 across all the providers during high demand and for which Uber was quoting $13-18 at the time of those rides.
I loved my Apple Watch at first but due to exactly these sort of distractions no longer wear it and have more recently turned off most of the notifications on my phone. I am sick of my attention being stolen away by everything around me.
Why not just turn off the notifications on the watch, so you can enjoy it for what it's good at? I won't give up the functionality, but I am extremely selective about what it notifications it can put in front of me.
Because it's ultimately not very useful. Sleep tracking - I've become convinced this is actually a bad idea, and since I stopped I stress less about sleep and ultimately sleep better. Step tracking? Phone does that adequately.
I do wear it for workouts, but once it's closer to end of life will replace it with something dedicated for workouts like a Garmin that holds a charge for 14+ days.
I’ll add that if you care about working out with a watch to track heart rate, the Apple Watch is pretty dismal. I moved to pairing mine with a Polar H10 strap so that I could get much faster feedback on heart rate recovery post sprint. In addition to using an optical sensor, the Apple Watch may also be doing something to smooth out the signal. I just know that the Polar seems much more responsive and matches how I am feeling.
Chest straps work with ECG, so they're hard to beat for heart rate tracking. That said, Apple watches are some of the best wrist wearables for heart rate tracking. Most other brands aren't as accurate and many don't come even close.
Check out the Quantified Scientist on YouTube, he does some interesting testing on health devices.
Agreed on the sleep tracking, I don’t bother with that. I use it primarily for time, timers, outdoor temperature, workouts, Apple Pay, Tesla key card, and EKG. I have started leaving my phone at home fairly often. Which then leads somewhat regularly to me needing to use another feature of the watch - find my iphone.
Well, there was $300M+ in VC money and after burning through some percentage of it those investors wanted an exit. I don’t think this is so much about founders taking a deal as it is investors demanding that exit.
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