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A US-led NATO may very well not survive two more years of Trump presidency.

T-bills are offering higher yields, that helps with demand.

Schengen looks like a stretch, considering the geographic situation, but free movement is achievable, if both want it.

Schengen is pretty strict in that it's a full people/money/goods zone all together. It'd require Canada pretty much all going in on EU laws.

Much more likely is looser employment visas and maybe allowing Canadians have an easier time moving for things like retirement, etc. I'm not holding my breath, though.


This is pretty a common misconception. Schengen area only refers to the fact that there are no border checks between two countries which are in that area - it's just like an internal movement. This applies to anybody, so for example if a Canadian enters the Schengen area, they can move to any other country within that area without checks and without requiring an additional visa.

What you're thinking about is the "single market" - which, even if the name could deceive, also applies to people, including the right to go work anywhere within the single market for citizens of single market countries. Which is what many brits always hated, as they wanted single market for services and goods, but not for people.

Single market doesn't imply Schengen though - eg I as an EU citizen have the right to move to Ireland for work, but I still need to go through border checks as Ireland is outside of Schengen (because they have free movement with NI).


And the UK in general. I went to Dublin a few years back now, and I had my passport checked as I entered Ireland, but not before I got on the plane and not as I left not when I got back to Gatwick.. in fact I walked off the plane through the baggage claim and back out on to the airport and no one asked me for anything. I think if I'd travelled by ferry, I might not have needed a passport at all.

As someone who is very much in favor of this, let's remember that for now we're only at the announcements level. Any binding changes in the EU require a long process - if anything else, because there are 27 member states, each of which have veto power. But I'm hopeful that facts will follow these announcements.

That's true, however, under all the recent pressures, everything is much more fluid. Especially because 'associate member' does not exist yet as a status, I think they could do things much more incrementally compared to full memberships.

At this stage it's not about how much it's worth, but how much investment is required to reach their goals.


I have no idea about timelines, but the current LLM architecture has no mechanism which could emulate online learning in a way similar to how it happens in humans and other animals. As another commenter wrote, there is no neuroplasticity while these systems interact with their environment in normal usage; adding information/constraints to the context partially mitigates this, but it's a completely different mechanism.

The RL phase is the most similar mechanism I know of that comes to my mind, but I'm not sure it could be adapted to fill that gap.

My totally unsubstantiated theory is that this is the missing link towards what most humans would consider AGI. I don't see this as intractable, but it may require some substantial change in architecture.


We've had that concept for quite a long time now, in the form of Lora [1] and similar fine-tuning techniques.

It first got popular for StableDiffusion to teach the image generation models new concepts.

We could easily live in a world where you can train / build Loras to encompass your entire code base history, company knowledge base, new skills, etc.

Then the models would start with a baseline that already has all the important knowledge without needing to cram it into the context.

This still isn't on the fly learning, but you could imagine daily or weekly training runs to regularly incorporate new knowledge.

I think the main reason this hasn't happened yet is that the shared batch based efficient serving architectures used today wouldn't support that structure well.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LoRA_(machine_learning)


Yes, that could be a way to achieve that. After all, even humans have short term and long term memory, and it looks like sleep is a very important "tick" to connect the two, so it's not all just continuous.

For sure, doing it for all users would be economically unfeasible. I wonder if the labs are experimenting with something similar, though.


Chain of thought reasoning is really good, true, but agents really took off with tool calling and being able to integrate with a bunch of stable tools.

In some sense, creating good new abstractions externally and learning those is a form of "learning", on a very large timescale. The AI model is not necessarily doing the whole "look at the whole space holsitically and find a key invariant", but if you let other people do that you can enable new capabilities that were previously unknown.

Tools and capacities, man.


Given how important matrix multiplication with a huge number of fixed parameters is becoming, there is an enormous incentive to design much more efficient architectures where this very simple compute is colocated with memory. Inference cost would come down a lot.


With the size of these matrices I don't think they are even meaningfully colocated with themselves in memory. You'll end up with some dataflow TPU architecture anyway because you'll have to stream the second matrix to multiply against.


Exactly where I see this going as well. Sure, a smartphone might be a nice place to introduce such tech. But matrix multiplication is literally where all non-labour jobs are going - this is the bedrock for efficient (time, energy) machine learning and inference.

If AI really is going to eat all our jobs, then matrix multiplication in memory is almost a requirement.


Turning RAM into an active coprocessor does feel like an awkward model for that though.

Intel's Advanced Matrix Extensions (AMX) and the dedicated tile registers, which are basically systolic arrays IIUC, seem like a better fit.

But Samsung doesn't have that option so they're playing the card they have.


I think useful flops per dollar will outweigh any "awkwardness" factor.

Elegant designs don't win anymore.


Yes, but that should be on a case by case basis. Blocking everybody is just an ideologically stupid choice, besides being inhumane.


Memory fabs take years to build, they cost a lot and there is no guarantee that the demand will stay as high years in the future. It's all very complex.


Yep, the hard part is not going out of business in the slow years.


30-40 per day means between 10,000 and 15,000 Palestinians killed per year. Just think about that number for a minute. I think that you're giving Ben Gvir way too much benefit of the doubt here.


And a 1,277,500 in ten years! Except no where did he say that this is the plan until the end of days, or until the end of the year. He said what he think Israel should do now.

Again, to clarify, I do not support him nor wish for any of his plans to become real, and I'm deeply said and ashmed of every plan of his that did become real. What I was commenting on what about what he said, though, which is already a deviation from the original post in discussion. If we're going to start talking about Ben Gvir in general, for all the I care he should be sitting in jail, already since the 90s.


How long has this war been going on? A year is a totally realistic time frame if you evaluate his words.


I'm sorry, but what does the current length of the war has to do with this? During an armed conflict one can be asked what they think needs to be done, and it doesn't mean that this is what they think needs to be done even one week from now. And again, even if he thinks so, it is clearly not what he said. If we're trying to guess what Ben Gvir really wants, I can only agree he probably wants terrible things. If we're talking about what is said on Israeli TV, then that's simply not what was said and I'd like to believe that it's not something the general public would accept.


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