> when you can just start from zero, look at what's known to be happening right now, and draw a very straight line to catastrophe.
The problem is that it's not a straight line at all. "We are failing at alignment" is a valid concern, but there's not a straight line to "we will all be extinct within x year", and it's always a wild hyperbolic leap.
why would that be the case? it's not true for top secret defense contractors today. and the frontier labs already operate in the dark, openness is a liability.
nationalization to me simply means the government is their main customer and stakeholder, and shield them from liability, governance, and openness. not that the frontier labs become part of the government per se.
>eans the government is their main customer and stakeholder, and shield them from liability, governance, and openness
I personally believe they already have this, why would the current government at least want to formalize this when it can have it with no public discussion.
DeepSeek. Every now and again I get a notification that I'm running out of credits. That means I've got less than US$5. I usually wait another week or 2 and top up another 10.
I have a theory that when someone is ready to resign from a frontier lab they must get offered a substantial bonus to post the most unhinged doomer take they can think of.
I have been finding them decreasing in the effectiveness with each model release. We got rid of skills and built a determinist harness around the agent instead.
reply